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The Ukrainian conflict would have meant a return to the Cold War between Russia and the US and a return to the Doctrine of Containment, the foundations of which were laid out by George F. Kennan ( image below) in his essay “The Sources of Soviet Behavior” published in the journal Foreign Affairs in 1947 and whose main ideas are summarized in the quote “Soviet power is impervious to the logic of reason but very sensitive to the logic of force.”
The stagnation of the war due to the arrival of winter and the lack of weapons and economic aid from the USA, would have provoked discouragement in the Ukrainian Army so it would be already brewing a peace agreement in Ukraine between the US and Russia that will try to be torpedoed by Zelensky, Britain and the Baltic States.
Thus, such actors would be desperately trying to involve NATO in the Ukrainian conflict, with which the jester Zelensky would already be for the US a burden from which it is appropriate to detach immediately, not being ruled out that he should be accused of corruption and forced into exile in the US.
The loss of control of Congress by the Democrats after the mid-term elections in November has meant that the Republicans are overseeing future arms aid to Ukraine, estimated to date at $90 billion and in effect until December, as well as a growing wave of political disaffection with Zelensky that would span the entire American political spectrum. Thus, Democrat Robert F. Kennedy Jr., in an interview in ” New Statesman” stated that “the US is sending 113 billion dollars to Ukraine when a quarter of American citizens go to bed hungry.”
On the Republican side, former President Donald Trump said in his networks that “we have never been so close to World War III” and that there must be a “total commitment to dismantle the globalist neoconservative power group responsible for dragging the world into endless wars.”
Likewise, the Republican candidate Ron DeSantis, affirmed that “Washington has many vital national interests, but getting even more entangled in the territorial dispute between Ukraine and Russia is not one of them.”
The coup de grace to Ukraine would be Congress’s recent rejection of Biden’s proposed aid of $80 billion more in military or humanitarian aid to Kiev, due to the frontal opposition of the radical Republican wing of Congress led by Donald Trump, with the avowed aim of stifling Zelensky from economic starvation to force him to sign a peace agreement with Putin. Moreover, military aid to Israel following the invasion of the Gaza Strip will absorb a significant part of the US military budget, so it could accelerate the personal encounter between Biden and Putin, which would lead in mid-2024 to a peace agreement between Ukraine and Russia that ends the Ukrainian dispute, already considered by the US as a drag due to spending due to the unaffordable expense involved.
Netanyahu, the Last Jewish King
Netanyahu, a nefarious politician who tried to strike an autocratic coup to later establish a presidential regime and implement the atavism of Greater Israel, could face a criminal trial in which he will be accused of negligence and crimes against human rights, which could mean a criminal conviction and his definitive departure from the Israeli political scene.
Thus, taking advantage of the alleged security holes in the Israeli Defense caused by the schism between the reservists and Netanyahu, the armed wing of the Islamist group Hamas, launched the largest military offensive since 2007 with the infiltration of tens of its members in Israeli localities and the launching of thousands of projectiles against large areas, including Tel Aviv and Jerusalem with the result about 1400 Israeli victims and more than 200 hostages.
Netanyahu, using the invisible dictatorship of fear of the Third Holocaust, came from Hamas, Hezbollah or Iran, took advantage of the bloody incursion of Hamas to declare the State of War (defense of Israel’s security) and unleash a crushing offensive in the Gaza Strip that would increase his lost popularity with his failed legal reform and allow him to bypass the judicial process in which he is accused of bribery, fraud and breach of trust.
Thus, all basic infrastructure, schools, mosques, hospitals and 80 per cent of Gaza’s buildings would have been razed by the systematic bombing of Israeli aircraft, with the result of more than 20,000 Palestinian civilian casualties and several thousand more buried in the rubble, Massacre that will have as collateral a new nakba in which 1.5 million Palestinians will be forced to leave a Gaza turned into a mass of rubble and human remains that will make it impossible for the displaced Gazan population to return.
However, after the invasion of Gaza by Israel, the disaffection of a civil society that cannot forgive the security failures in the Israeli Defence that would have led to the killing of 1400 Israelis and the kidnapping of more than 200 months of people by Hamas would be exacerbated.Thus,the newspaper Haaretz would have become the champion of the defense of democratic values and in an editorial of October 8 directly accused Netanyahu of being “responsible for this war between Israel and Gaza”, so the Netanyahu government would have imposed a financial punishment.
Moreover, Israeli public opinion would already be holding Netanyahu responsible for the shocking Israeli security failure by belittling the Egyptian reports that 10 days earlier allegedly warned Netanyahu that Hamas was preparing a major offensive against Israel, which was denied by Netanyahu in a tweet in which he accused the intelligence services of negligence, getting to antagonize the powerful services of the Israeli Mossad. Thus, according to a survey by The Jerusalem Post, 80% of those polled say that “the Government is mainly responsible for the infiltration of Palestinian militias” and 56% think that “Netanyahu should resign at the end of the current war.”
Netanyahu would already be cornered by the international community’s repulsion of the flagrant violation of human rights in Gaza with nearly 20,000 civilian victims and the US as the only supporter before the UN, so the Biden Administration is desperately trying to get a declaration of “indefinite truce” which would allow the exchange of Jewish hostages still held by Hamas as well as restore the circulation of humanitarian aid trucks for about 1 million Palestinians confined in a space of 7 Km 2 next to the Rafah border crossing, with which Biden would aim an important diplomat and wash his image before the world.
In this context, we are witnessing the unfortunate death by the Tzahal of three of the Jewish hostages by confusing them with members of Hamas. As a result, the mobilizations of the relatives of the people kidnapped by Hamas at the residence of Netanyahu who are made “personally responsible for their return home alive” have increased. Consequently, the disaffection of Israeli society towards Netanyahu due to his nefarious management of the crisis with Hamas and the zero interest in rescuing the Jewish hostages alive, could provoke the resignation of his Government and the subsequent convocation of new elections that facilitate the formation of a new Government of Salvation, whose primary task would be to reedit the Oslo Accords that allow the coexistence of Two peoples in Two states.
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Germán Gorraiz Lopez is a political analyst. He is a regular contributor to Global Research.
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